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PROHASHING suspends service to NiceHash rentals after analysis of block submissions

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Today, PROHASHING is announcing that the company is suspending service to NiceHash mining rentals. The changes were effective at 11pm EDT last night.

Since early July, PROHASHING has been conducting a wide-ranging audit in an attempt to identify why our accounting system was not matching up with the actual amounts in wallets. For two months, we believed that the cause of the problem was a share recorder bug that was recording incorrect amounts of work performed by miners, or a problem in the mining server where blocks were not being submitted. We did find a number of miner bugs, since we were looking for them. We were able to significantly cut costs by avoiding unnecessary network and exchange fees. Neither of these actions, however, turned out to be responsible for the audit discrepancies.

Earlier this week, after writing the previous post disproving NiceHash's claims that it cannot prevent 51% attacks (https://prohashing.com/blog/prohashing-disproves-false-nicehash-statement), we decided to review whether NiceHash's refusal to guarantee that sellers submit blocks at a normal rate could be responsible for the auditing issues. We concluded that NiceHash miners, which made up 10% of the pool's hashrate, submitted 3% of the pool's blocks. This result conclusively ended our search for the low-luck bug, and will allow us to increase profitability for direct miners.

The finding should not be interpreted to mean that customers who connect to PROHASHING using NiceHash miners are criminals. While there could be miners who rent hashrate and then intentionally fail to submit blocks, we find it unlikely that miners would knowingly do so because that reduces earnings for everyone. Instead, given our experience with testing hashrate rentals ourselves, we believe that many rigs connected to NiceHash are bugged. It's possible there may be some sort of firmware that can speed up mining by only submitting low-difficulty shares. Because NiceHash doesn't police their systems, these miners can earn more money there. It's more likely that our customers renting hashrate from NiceHash are victims, unknowingly being ripped off renting these rigs.

Another factor that convinced us of the necessity to end NiceHash service include past incidents where large amounts of hashrate would be rented during coin forks, often costing a lot of money because exchanges ended up selecting the other chain. Chris actually believes that Ethash mining has been a net loss over the years because only three or four incidents involving rented hashrate caused a loss of all profit from direct mining during the rest of the time. Additionally, NiceHash's "negative deltas" generate large numbers of support tickets, and we want to refocus our resources so that we can provide more timely support to direct miners. If you are currently "passing through" miners at a cloud rental service, we'd love to continue our relationship with you as a direct miner.

We will evaluate the impact of the end of NiceHash service in October. At that time, we will decide whether to resume offering NiceHash connections, whether to continue as-is with only NiceHash prohibited, or whether to ban all hashrate rentals from all providers. While there has only been one incident involving a provider other than NiceHash, it may be that the business model for hashrate rental is fatally flawed, because the majority of hashrate rentals could be involved in criminal activity in some way or another. I suspect that the Ethereum Classic thefts are going to soon bring legal scrutiny to not only NiceHash, but to all cloud mining providers, over whether they are taking sufficient steps to stop criminal activity on their services.

While we are almost certain that we have detected all NiceHash miners, it is possible that we could detect additional NiceHash users in the future. Beginning when the new website is released (perhaps on September 15), the entire balance of anyone who is proven to use NiceHash's services is subject to forfeiture upon detection, unless and until this policy may be changed in October. We will post messages to affected customers' accounts notifying them of the policy change, and have already updated the documentation on the new website.

We apologize for not being able to provide advance notice of the change. Once we discovered that the luck correlation was statistically significant, it was no longer justifiable to delay this service suspension, as even allowing NiceHash customers to continue mining overnight would have resulted in several hundred dollars in losses - an amount that we cannot afford in these doldrums between coin price bubbles. We also understand that many customers who had written bots to arbitrage NiceHash prices at pools will be disappointed, and we sincerely apologize to them. Perhaps we will be able to resume offering our services to them in the future, but we can't guarantee that.

Thanks for your understanding, and feel free to reply if you have any questions! You can also submit a support ticket if you have additional questions.

Steve Sokolowski Author

Steve Sokolowski is a longtime miner, cryptocurrency believer, interest platform depositor, and PROHASHING owner. He can be contacted at help@prohashing.com.

Comments (3)

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Steve Sokolowski
I thought that it was worth providing a brief update after we suspended service to NiceHash mining rentals, as we announced in our previous post on Friday (https://prohashing.com/blog/prohashing-suspends-service-to-nicehash-rentals). Since the suspension, the pool's luck improved from 89% to 94%. The 94% is only at 3-sigma significance, so it's not quite as rigorous as the 6-sigma standard for a vaccine trial or a physics experiment. However, the improvement is so unlikely to be due to chance that we are not going to hold off on implementing the next phase of action against the low luck miners issue solely to obtain more definitive proof. Our theory is that NiceHash has always attracted abusive miners due to their lack of policing and enforcement; however, while PROHASHING mined $250,000 per day, the small number of NiceHash miners was not significant and the huge number of bugs and other problems at the time hid their small losses. Now that the pool mines $10,000 per day, and the system is far more stable and developed than before, the low luck miners at NiceHash became more noticeable. The audit system is now close to exact, and NiceHash rentals' hashrate did not decline at the same rate as that of other miners. While we will continue to evaluate the effects of the NiceHash ban, right now it does not look likely that we'll be able to resume NiceHash rental support in October. These results prove yet another negative impact that NiceHash is having on the cryptocurrency industry. We encourage other pools to ban NiceHash rentals to improve their luck and profitability.
robinsoz
I know that this is an older post, but I have seen discussions of this subject for some years and have an idea about why Nicehash seems to always have low luck miners. Most of my miners are pointed at pools that mine bitcoin and this is a subject that keeps coming up. A couple years ago the pool operator of the mining pool I was using at the time went out and rented a bunch of Nicehash rental to give his pool a boost and ended up coming close to bankrupting himself and cost his users a significant amount of money as well. Afterwards he posted an analysis of the hash he had been delivered by Nicehash - the pool kept good logs of shares submitted - and it appeared that a high percentage of the shares above a certain difficulty were being discarded. One possible explanation is that operators of mining rigs can increase their profits and artificially increase the market price of hash power by discarding blocks. A lot of Nicehash's buyers are people who calculate the value they statistically expect to receive by mining various altcoins. The buyers bid for hashpower based on the profit they statistically expect to make. If a block is found the difficulty of the altcoin being mined will increase, the value that can be obtained by mining that altcoin will decrease and thus the price that the hash buyer is willing to pay will decrease. By withholding blocks, miners can effectively participate in a rigged auction and thwart the normal laws of supply and demand. Nicehash itself has an incentive to withhold blocks for the same reason (the company gets paid a percentage of what the hashrate sells for) and I don't think there is a reason to believe they are a particularly ethical company. This is a problem that is hard to get completely away from in PPS mining, though the more directly you do business with the miners (without middlemen) the less trouble you would be expected to have. One solution might be to institute another mining mode - pay per block. It would be similar to pay per share with coin switching, but payment would be based on the value of blocks found instead of shares submitted. If it had a lower fee, it would be a better deal for any large miner who a large enough mining farm pointed at the pool to be statistically expected to find blocks regularly.
Steve Sokolowski
Excellent analysis! I couldn't figure out any way that people might intentionally be able to game the system, so I always assumed that this behavior was related to firmware bugs in specific miners. The best guess I had was that people pointed these miners at NiceHash, because they didn't take any action to police their systems and because their terms of service specifically prohibit refunds. I think that you missed that the issue isn't limited to PPS pools. PPLNS pools, for example, are also affected, and a few people jumped ship from Slush to come here because Slush's luck was poor. The only difference between the modes is that PPS passes the losses onto the owners, and PPLNS passes the losses onto the miners. In both cases, someone is losing money and the pool is hurt. Your comments about doing business directly with miners are spot on. That's why we ended service to NiceHash rentals a few months ago. Besides the poor luck, we also determined that NiceHash miners were a net loss even on the basis of 100% luck, because they always seemed to be involved whenever there were bugs or coin issues.
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